Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KAI-TAK-17 in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines from 13 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC to 19 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Malaysia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 15 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Dec 2017 18:00	65	19.8 million	No people	Philippines
2	14 Dec 2017 00:00	74	11.5 million	No people	Philippines
3	14 Dec 2017 06:00	74	13 million	No people	Philippines
4	14 Dec 2017 12:00	74	41.8 million	No people	Philippines
5	14 Dec 2017 18:00	83	81.7 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia
6	15 Dec 2017 00:00	83	87.8 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam
7	15 Dec 2017 06:00	65	109.7 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
8	15 Dec 2017 12:00	93	77.6 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
9	15 Dec 2017 18:00	93	110.5 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
10	16 Dec 2017 00:00	83	66.9 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
11	16 Dec 2017 06:00	83	99.5 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
12	16 Dec 2017 12:00	83	97.6 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
13	16 Dec 2017 18:00	74	62.2 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
14	17 Dec 2017 00:00	56	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
15	17 Dec 2017 06:00	56	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
16	17 Dec 2017 12:00	56	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
17	17 Dec 2017 18:00	46	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
18	18 Dec 2017 00:00	46	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
19	18 Dec 2017 06:00	46	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
20	18 Dec 2017 18:00	74	10.4 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia
21	19 Dec 2017 00:00	74	10.4 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia
22	19 Dec 2017 06:00	74	13.2 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia
23	19 Dec 2017 12:00	83	14 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia
24	19 Dec 2017 18:00	83	15 million	No people	Malaysia, Philippines, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Viet Nam

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	11.3, 127.3
2	14 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.9 million people	11.2, 127.3	Philippines
3	14 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	2.9 million people	11.1, 126.9	Philippines
4	14 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.6 million people	11.5, 127.7	Philippines
5	14 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	7.6 million people	11.5, 127.5	Philippines
6	15 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	6.2 million people	11.7, 127.7	Philippines
7	15 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.1 million people	11.7, 127.6	Philippines
8	15 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.5 million people	11.6, 127.8	Philippines
9	15 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	30.1 million people	12.1, 127.1	Philippines
10	16 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	8.8 million people	12.5, 126.3	Philippines
11	16 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	27.5 million people	12.4, 125.8	Philippines
12	16 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	29.8 million people	12.1, 125.4	Philippines
13	16 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	10.7 million people	12, 124.9	Philippines
14	17 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.2, 124.2	Philippines
15	17 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12.2, 122.7	Philippines
16	17 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	11.5, 121.7	Philippines
17	17 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	10.9, 120.4	Philippines
18	18 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	10.6, 119.6	Philippines
19	18 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	10.4, 118.9	Philippines
20	18 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	830000 people	10.3, 116.7	Malaysia
21	19 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	530000 people	9.7, 115.9	Malaysia
22	19 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.1 million people	8.5, 115.3	Malaysia
23	19 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2.7 million people	8.4, 114.8	Malaysia
24	19 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.3 million people	8.3, 113.4	Viet Nam
24	20 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	30000 people	7.8, 111.8
24	20 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	58000 people	7.5, 110.1	Indonesia
24	21 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	30000 people	7, 108.3	Indonesia
24	21 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	6.6, 106.3
24	22 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	6, 102.3	Thailand

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Malaysia
Philippines
Brunei
Indonesia
Vietnam

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Sabah	Malaysia
Southern Tagalog	Philippines
Brunei	Brunei Darussalam
Sarawak	Malaysia
Kalimantan Timur	Indonesia
Ninh Thuan	Viet Nam
Binh Thuan	Viet Nam
Khanh Hoa	Viet Nam
Riau	Indonesia
Central Visayas	Philippines
Northern Mindanao	Philippines
Bicol	Philippines
Southern Mindanao	Philippines
Eastern Visayas	Philippines

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Victoria	Wilayah Persekutuan Labuan	Malaysia	City	-
Kota Kinabalu	Sabah	Malaysia	City	450000 people
Bandar Seri Begawan		Brunei Darussalam	Capital	63000 people
Pekan Seria		Brunei Darussalam	City	-
Miri	Sarawak	Malaysia	City	230000 people
Bintulu	Sarawak	Malaysia	City	150000 people
Sandakan	Sabah	Malaysia	City	390000 people
Phan Rang	Ninh Thuan	Vietnam	City	91000 people
Puerto Princesa		Philippines	City	160000 people
Cam Ranh	Ninh Thuan	Vietnam	City	150000 people
Mukah	Sarawak	Malaysia	City	-
Bogo	Central Visayas	Philippines	City	23000 people
Bulan	Bicol	Philippines	City	28000 people
Ormoc	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	91000 people
Carigara	Leyte	Philippines	City	17000 people
Barugo	Leyte	Philippines	City	6500 people
Burauen	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	14000 people
Calbayog	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	68000 people
Babatñgon	Leyte	Philippines	City	-
Dulag	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	10000 people
Palo	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	18000 people
Tanauan	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	16000 people
Tacloban	Tacloban City	Philippines	City	190000 people
Guiuan	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	11000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Pagasa		2				0
Labuan	LBU	31	Mil.	Paved	Yes	7500
Kota Kinabalu	BKI	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Kota Belud		14				0
Brunei International	BWN	22	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12000
Kudat	KUD	unknown				0
Anduki / Seria		2	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4600
Sipitang	SPT	unknown				0
Limbang	LMN	unknown				0
Lawas	LWY	unknown				0
Miri	MYY	17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6900
Ranau	RNU	unknown				0
Keningau	KGU	unknown				0
Marudi	MUR	31	Civ.	Paved	No	2900
Long Sukang	LSU	unknown				0
Mulu	MZV	24				0
Telupid	TEL	unknown				0
Pamol	PAY	unknown				0
Long Seridan	ODN	unknown				0
Long Semado Lawas	LSM	unknown				0
Long Lama	LLM	unknown				0
Sepulot	SPE	unknown				0
Long Pasia	GSA	unknown				0
Bakalalan	BKM	unknown				0
Longbawan	LBW	unknown				0
Bario	BBN	unknown				0
Long Lellang	LGL	unknown				0
Bintulu	BTU	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Sandakan	SDK	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6900
Cagayan de Sulu	CDY	30				0
Long Bonga	LBP	unknown				0
Cam Ranh		6				0
Puerto Princesa International	PPS	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
		37				0
Cam Ranh Bay		14				0
Mukah	MKM	unknown	Civ.	Paved	No	3500
Ranai		2	Civ.	Paved	No	8400
Conson		6	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3600
Masbate	MBT	15	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Philphos		5				0
Legaspi	LGP	20	Civ.	Paved	No	6800
Biliran Natl		89				0
Ormoc	OMC	25	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Maasin		100				0
Sorsogon		37	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Calbayog	CYP	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4800
Catbalogan		15				0
Catarman	CRM	2	Civ.	Paved	No	4400
Daniel Z Romualdez	TAC	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7000
Virac	VRC	37	Civ.	Paved	No	5100
Surigao	SUG	6	Civ.	Paved	No	5000
Nonoc		4				0
Borongan		2				0
Dolores		2				0
Guiuan		2	Civ.	Paved	No	7000
Siargao		3				0
Tandag	TDG	5	Civ.	Paved	No	4400

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Labuan Terminal		Malaysia
Sapangar Bay		Malaysia
Labuan Hadji, Sabah	MYLBH	Malaysia
Usukan Bay		Malaysia
Kota Kinabalu	MYBKI	Malaysia
Labuan	MYLBU	Malaysia
Balabac		Philippines
Muara Port	BNMUA	Brunei Darussalam
Seria Oil Loading Terminal		Brunei Darussalam
Kudat	MYKUD	Malaysia
Bandar Seri Begawan	BNBWN	Brunei Darussalam
Lumut	BNLUM	Brunei Darussalam
Weston	MYWES	Malaysia
Kuala Belait	BNKUB	Brunei Darussalam
Seria	BNSER	Brunei Darussalam
Tanjung Salirong	BNTAS	Brunei Darussalam
Limbang	MYLMN	Malaysia
Sipitang	MYSPT	Malaysia
Lutong		Malaysia
Miri	MYMYY	Malaysia
Bono Bono		Philippines
Rio Tuba		Philippines
Sibuti		Malaysia
Punta Baja Harbor		Philippines
Niah		Malaysia
Eran		Philippines
Suai		Malaysia
Quezon		Philippines
Bintulu Terminal	MYBTU	Malaysia
Bintulu	MYBTU	Malaysia
Bintulu Port		Malaysia
Sandakan	MYSDK	Malaysia
Vung Phan Rang		Vietnam
Ba Ngoi		Vietnam
Puerto Princesa	PHPPS	Philippines
Cam Ranh		Vietnam
Babuyan		Philippines
Bunguran Island		Indonesia
Binaluan		Philippines
El Nido		Philippines
Bacuit		Philippines
Vinh Con Son		Vietnam
Kakap Natuna Marine Terminal		Malaysia
Anoa Marine Terminal		Malaysia
Tapis Marine Terminal A		Malaysia
Dulang Marine Terminal		Malaysia
Santa Fe		Philippines
Port Barrera		Philippines
Carmen		Philippines
Sogod Bay		Philippines
Borbon		Philippines
Bogo		Philippines
Masbate		Philippines
Masbate	PHMBT	Philippines
Donsol		Philippines
Palompon		Philippines
Bulan		Philippines
Isabel	PHISL	Philippines
Magallanes Bay		Philippines
San Isidro		Philippines
Villaba		Philippines
Arevalo		Philippines
Legazpi	PHLGP	Philippines
Merida		Philippines
Pilar		Philippines
Port Bello		Philippines
Calubian		Philippines
Leyte		Philippines
Ormoc		Philippines
Casiguran		Philippines
Sorsogon		Philippines
Coal Harbor		Philippines
Maasin		Philippines
Baybay		Philippines
Malitbog		Philippines
Sogod		Philippines
Calbayog		Philippines
Talalora		Philippines
Liloan		Philippines
Tanauan		Philippines
Tacloban	PHTAC	Philippines
Catbalogan	PHCTS	Philippines
Lagome		Philippines
Virac Catanduanes Island		Philippines
Surigao	PHSUG	Philippines
Laoang		Philippines
Borongan	PHBGV	Philippines
Gen Macarthur		Philippines
Guiuan		Philippines
Numancia		Philippines
Dapa		Philippines
Tandag		Philippines
Aras Asan		Philippines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.